Watch the video here or read the transcription below (with some edits for clarity)
Happy New Year everybody! I’m Eric Hagstette with Inhabit Real Estate and I am really glad to be taking on this subject with you. We have a lot to talk about, so let’s jump right in! 2022 is in the rearview mirror; for some, it was a good year and for others a tough one. For most real estate professionals, we are likely saying “see you later 2022”, and we’re really excited to have a new year in front of us.
With all that said, there’s still a ton of noise and mixed information floating around out there, so I would like to share with you my projections and outlook as I look into the new year. I don’t have a crystal ball, but after almost 20 years in the business, I’ve been in similar markets before and I want to share with you what I believe is going on.
Let’s start with what the experts are saying. We’ve been hearing for months that this high-interest rate environment is going to stymie the market until mid to late 2023. Then interest rates will begin to stabilize which will encourage more inventory in the market and more buyers’ confidence.
What is happening now, in all reality here in Portland, is inventory is dipping down. We are now below two months of housing inventory and even further down for detached single-family homes. Remember, lower inventory means higher demand. Also, we are really excited to see interest rates coming down. Now, we’ve all heard about improving inflationary numbers which is the reason for interest rates decreasing. Buyers are coming out of the holidays really hungry; the market is active and our brokers are out there showing property. So that’s the truth about what’s happening here in the Portland market.
My concern, outlook, or projection is that we’ll continue to see a reduction of housing inventory as the buyers get out and gobble it up and we might be entering another tight year of housing inventory and pricing on the rise. I know that sounds very different than what you were expecting to hear, but
Portland’s market is pointing in a direction that is similar to a cycle we’ve seen here in the past.
So, what is my advice with all this information? Number one, listen to your local real estate expert. Call your favorite Inhabit broker and have them give you the lowdown on your neighborhood and your specific real estate. Everybody’s goals and situations are different and very specific so get it locally and ignore the national news. Number two, Portland is so hyper-local. We have an urban growth boundary that has always limited our supply and we’ve always shown a significant amount of resilience in unusual market times. When they say “keep Portland weird,” it applies to real estate as well. Finally, transitioning or moderating markets are those that bring opportunity. That’s one of the silver linings to all this. There are great buys out there for our buyers. We are negotiating on price, credits, repairs, and even rate buy-down points for our buyers, and at the same time, we are making our sellers really happy with proper pricing, presentation and a marketing plan to position their sale for best results.
So, in the end, real estate is based on you (our clients). Your timeline, your goals and your specific situation. It’s not about market conditions, seasonality, or what some brokers say. So, ignore the noise and call us for advice. It’s never too early and you know we will be here for you. Thanks for listening (or reading). I look forward to bringing you a lot more information in the new year along with some of my broker colleagues. So, tune in, ask your questions and post your comments. Thanks for being here.